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Red87
360232.5
439223.6
483522.3
Blue74
611325.5
497025.7
550533.7
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions727265707580858774

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.50.8
31.832.5
Auto8.0
Teleop19.1
End5.4
blue by 1.1
33.70.4
29.229.6
Auto7.2
Teleop20.4
End6.1
Second
4392
#10
23.61.3
18.119.4
Auto8.7
Teleop11.2
End3.7
blue by 2.2
4970
#13
25.70.4
21.822.2
Auto8.6
Teleop14.5
End2.6
Third
4835
#22
22.31.3
20.421.7
Auto8.7
Teleop10.7
End2.9
blue by 3.2
6113
#23
25.50.4
19.419.8
Auto6.3
Teleop14.6
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
68%Breach oddsEarned64%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed