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Red103
90430.5
498322.3
523026.8
Blue44
569224.6
518315.6
159627.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions686020408010010344

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
904
#4
30.52.5
27.129.6
Auto9.7
Teleop13.4
End7.3
red by 3.5
1596
#11
27.01.7
25.523.8
Auto6.4
Teleop16.2
End4.4
Second
26.84.2
19.123.3
Auto4.2
Teleop17.7
End4.9
red by 2.1
5692
#20
24.61.7
20.919.2
Auto7.1
Teleop13.1
End4.5
Third
4983
#15
22.32.5
18.921.4
Auto5.5
Teleop13.1
End3.7
red by 6.7
5183
#36
15.61.0
13.212.1
Auto5.9
Teleop7.8
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
35%Breach oddsEarned30%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed