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Red69
557514.8
554723.8
517518.7
Blue97
361727.3
437629.5
376730.0
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions488002040601001206997

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5547
#21
23.81.2
23.024.2
Auto10.4
Teleop8.8
End4.5
blue by 6.3
3767
#14
30.02.7
24.527.2
Auto7.1
Teleop18.1
End4.8
Second
5175
#40
18.71.2
17.318.5
Auto5.4
Teleop9.2
End4.0
blue by 10.8
29.51.6
25.727.3
Auto7.8
Teleop16.4
End5.3
Third
5575
#27
14.81.2
11.112.2
Auto3.7
Teleop9.6
End1.5
blue by 12.4
3617
#17
27.32.7
22.525.2
Auto9.3
Teleop12.3
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
24%Breach oddsEarned79%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed