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Red66
498322.3
611325.5
607523.0
Blue35
611213.8
497025.7
554723.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67612040801001206635

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6113
#23
25.50.2
20.821.0
Auto6.3
Teleop14.6
End4.7
blue by 0.2
4970
#13
25.72.6
24.822.2
Auto8.6
Teleop14.5
End2.6
Second
23.00.2
21.221.4
Auto6.4
Teleop12.1
End4.5
blue by 0.7
5547
#21
23.81.7
25.123.5
Auto10.4
Teleop8.8
End4.5
Third
4983
#15
22.30.1
22.122.2
Auto5.5
Teleop13.1
End3.7
red by 8.5
6112
#30
13.82.4
10.17.7
Auto3.1
Teleop6.6
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
52%Breach oddsEarned44%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed