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Red65
554723.8
607916.7
598922.2
Blue76
437629.5
548623.9
437514.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63712040801001201406576

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5547
#21
23.80.2
23.623.8
Auto10.4
Teleop8.8
End4.5
blue by 5.7
29.50.6
29.630.1
Auto7.8
Teleop16.4
End5.3
Second
5989
#26
22.20.2
21.922.2
Auto7.2
Teleop12.1
End2.9
blue by 1.7
5486
#29
23.90.6
23.924.5
Auto6.3
Teleop13.7
End3.8
Third
6079
#34
16.70.2
16.516.7
Auto3.1
Teleop11.6
End2.0
red by 2.2
4375
#37
14.60.7
13.814.6
Auto6.3
Teleop5.8
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
62%Breach oddsEarned65%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed