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Red65
570612.8
608818.9
570921.6
Blue74
557514.8
171123.5
611325.5
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52642040801006574

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5709
#33
21.60.2
21.121.3
Auto3.6
Teleop14.8
End3.2
blue by 3.9
6113
#23
25.51.0
24.525.5
Auto6.3
Teleop14.6
End4.7
Second
6088
#31
18.90.2
18.718.9
Auto4.5
Teleop11.3
End3.1
blue by 4.7
23.51.1
22.223.2
Auto9.1
Teleop10.7
End3.7
Third
5706
#35
12.80.2
12.612.8
Auto2.4
Teleop10.5
End-0.2
blue by 2.1
5575
#27
14.80.9
14.014.8
Auto3.7
Teleop9.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
10%Breach oddsMissed89%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed