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Red75
7037.7
47027.2
601117.8
Blue101
353635.0
477629.0
555930.0
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions718050609010011012013075101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70
#8
37.70.3
31.331.6
Auto14.4
Teleop20.4
End3.0
red by 2.8
3536
#24
35.02.7
29.131.8
Auto11.0
Teleop19.2
End4.7
Second
470
#23
27.20.3
22.522.8
Auto5.8
Teleop15.4
End6.0
blue by 2.8
30.01.6
23.324.9
Auto8.6
Teleop15.7
End5.8
Third
6011
#37
17.80.3
16.616.9
Auto3.6
Teleop11.8
End2.5
blue by 11.2
4776
#12
29.01.6
24.325.9
Auto11.4
Teleop14.5
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
84%Breach oddsEarned75%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed