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Red80
30234.7
564119.5
523516.5
Blue100
551728.9
436241.7
70327.6
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions659220408010012014080100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
#10
34.70.8
31.031.8
Auto8.9
Teleop15.2
End10.6
blue by 7.1
41.71.0
35.436.3
Auto12.0
Teleop23.2
End6.5
Second
5641
#35
19.50.8
19.520.3
Auto5.1
Teleop11.2
End3.2
blue by 9.4
5517
#11
28.91.0
26.427.4
Auto8.2
Teleop16.9
End3.8
Third
5235
#38
16.50.8
17.017.8
Auto0.8
Teleop11.9
End3.8
blue by 11.1
703
#3
27.61.0
24.024.9
Auto5.8
Teleop16.5
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
63%Breach oddsEarned78%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned