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Red75
556733.2
214521.0
523516.5
Blue95
508623.7
553030.5
607822.4
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7272506080901007595

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5567
#27
33.20.3
33.333.6
Auto9.8
Teleop17.3
End6.1
red by 2.7
5530
#16
30.51.7
26.828.5
Auto6.9
Teleop18.6
End4.9
Second
2145
#34
21.00.3
19.619.9
Auto7.8
Teleop9.8
End3.4
blue by 2.6
5086
#28
23.72.9
19.622.5
Auto6.4
Teleop13.5
End3.7
Third
5235
#38
16.50.3
17.818.1
Auto0.8
Teleop11.9
End3.8
blue by 5.9
6078
#33
22.41.7
22.724.5
Auto5.0
Teleop13.5
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
75%Breach oddsEarned56%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed