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Red89
366835.2
456821.3
555930.0
Blue125
551728.9
7037.7
283443.3
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76107406010012014016089125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3668
#25
35.20.7
30.731.4
Auto10.9
Teleop18.8
End5.5
blue by 8.1
43.31.7
40.642.3
Auto10.6
Teleop27.6
End5.1
Second
30.00.7
24.925.6
Auto8.6
Teleop15.7
End5.8
blue by 7.7
70
#8
37.71.7
31.633.3
Auto14.4
Teleop20.4
End3.0
Third
4568
#31
21.30.7
23.023.7
Auto2.6
Teleop14.6
End4.2
blue by 7.6
5517
#11
28.91.7
27.429.1
Auto8.2
Teleop16.9
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
90%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned