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Red89
370726.5
49437.9
610124.8
Blue110
30234.7
89433.0
6834.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82102406012014016089110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#4
37.90.4
38.639.0
Auto14.1
Teleop18.8
End5.0
red by 3.2
68
#2
34.70.9
33.734.6
Auto10.2
Teleop20.3
End4.2
Second
3707
#13
26.50.4
27.227.7
Auto8.0
Teleop14.4
End4.1
blue by 8.2
302
#10
34.70.9
32.533.4
Auto8.9
Teleop15.2
End10.6
Third
6101
#36
24.80.7
17.017.7
Auto5.9
Teleop15.4
End3.5
blue by 8.2
894
#14
33.00.9
30.030.9
Auto9.0
Teleop20.1
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
88%Breach oddsEarned77%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsEarned