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Red97
515229.2
508623.7
551728.9
Blue92
438437.9
436241.7
564119.5
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72108204060801001201401601809792

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5152
#20
29.21.4
25.627.0
Auto8.0
Teleop16.6
End4.7
blue by 12.5
41.70.5
39.839.3
Auto12.0
Teleop23.2
End6.5
Second
5517
#11
28.91.4
27.028.4
Auto8.2
Teleop16.9
End3.8
blue by 9.0
37.90.5
40.239.7
Auto7.9
Teleop24.2
End5.8
Third
5086
#28
23.71.9
23.024.9
Auto6.4
Teleop13.5
End3.7
red by 4.2
5641
#35
19.50.5
19.519.0
Auto5.1
Teleop11.2
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
37%Breach oddsEarned93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned3%Capture oddsMissed