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Red74
83027.9
370726.5
552320.4
Blue67
607822.4
601117.8
107627.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions776702040601001207467

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
830
#21
27.90.0
27.527.5
Auto8.3
Teleop15.8
End3.8
red by 0.5
1076
#15
27.40.0
26.826.8
Auto8.2
Teleop14.1
End5.1
Second
3707
#13
26.50.0
26.026.0
Auto8.0
Teleop14.4
End4.1
red by 4.1
6078
#33
22.40.0
22.222.2
Auto5.0
Teleop13.5
End3.8
Third
5523
#32
20.40.0
20.120.1
Auto3.0
Teleop13.3
End4.0
red by 2.6
6011
#37
17.80.0
17.717.8
Auto3.6
Teleop11.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
69%Breach oddsEarned71%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed