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Red169
49437.9
6834.7
556733.2
Blue169
353635.0
436241.7
366835.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions131132110120140150160169169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#4
37.90.4
38.038.4
Auto14.1
Teleop18.8
End5.0
blue by 3.8
41.70.4
40.440.7
Auto12.0
Teleop23.2
End6.5
Second
68
#2
34.70.4
34.835.2
Auto10.2
Teleop20.3
End4.2
blue by 0.4
3668
#25
35.20.4
33.834.2
Auto10.9
Teleop18.8
End5.5
Third
5567
#27
33.20.4
33.333.7
Auto9.8
Teleop17.3
End6.1
blue by 1.8
3536
#24
35.00.4
33.634.0
Auto11.0
Teleop19.2
End4.7