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Red137
608637.8
553429.9
496117.6
Blue110
606624.9
150628.5
124323.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10695406080120140160137110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.80.6
37.438.0
Auto10.5
Teleop22.8
End4.6
red by 9.4
1506
#11
28.50.2
28.328.5
Auto11.2
Teleop13.2
End4.0
Second
29.90.6
29.530.1
Auto6.8
Teleop15.8
End7.4
red by 5.1
6066
#13
24.90.2
24.724.9
Auto8.2
Teleop12.7
End3.9
Third
4961
#39
17.60.6
17.217.8
Auto6.1
Teleop8.3
End3.3
blue by 6.2
1243
#16
23.80.2
23.623.8
Auto10.0
Teleop10.2
End3.6