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Red110
436233.4
168436.3
607319.7
Blue117
370726.8
592626.2
520327.4
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116844060100140160110117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.30.0
36.736.7
Auto7.7
Teleop24.2
End4.4
red by 8.9
5203
#28
27.40.6
23.924.5
Auto7.1
Teleop15.7
End4.6
Second
33.40.0
33.833.8
Auto10.5
Teleop18.3
End4.7
red by 6.5
3707
#14
26.80.6
23.323.9
Auto6.8
Teleop15.4
End4.6
Third
6073
#25
19.70.0
20.220.1
Auto4.4
Teleop12.4
End2.9
blue by 6.5
5926
#10
26.20.6
22.723.3
Auto6.5
Teleop12.6
End7.1