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Red72
525120.3
523827.8
353924.6
Blue24
521622.2
571316.6
520118.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66490204060801007224

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5238
#12
27.80.6
18.919.5
Auto5.5
Teleop16.8
End5.5
red by 5.6
5216
#33
22.22.9
19.116.2
Auto6.3
Teleop12.2
End3.6
Second
3539
#30
24.60.6
24.825.4
Auto10.0
Teleop12.1
End2.4
red by 6.0
5201
#21
18.62.9
17.014.1
Auto7.5
Teleop8.6
End2.6
Third
5251
#26
20.30.4
18.018.4
Auto8.6
Teleop8.8
End2.9
red by 3.8
5713
#32
16.62.9
14.411.4
Auto3.5
Teleop11.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
60%Breach oddsEarned45%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed