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Red67
526024.0
370726.8
608637.8
Blue88
607319.7
233728.8
353430.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions707240506080901006788

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.80.2
31.231.1
Auto10.5
Teleop22.8
End4.6
red by 7.6
30.22.1
23.625.6
Auto7.3
Teleop13.6
End9.3
Second
3707
#14
26.80.3
14.714.4
Auto6.8
Teleop15.4
End4.6
blue by 2.0
2337
#15
28.82.1
29.331.3
Auto6.2
Teleop18.1
End4.5
Third
5260
#37
24.00.3
23.523.2
Auto8.4
Teleop13.4
End2.2
red by 4.3
6073
#25
19.72.1
16.618.7
Auto4.4
Teleop12.4
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
63%Breach oddsEarned68%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed