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Red64
124323.8
552711.6
370726.8
Blue54
49439.2
520327.4
438020.4
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4668204060801006454

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3707
#14
26.81.8
14.416.2
Auto6.8
Teleop15.4
End4.6
blue by 12.3
494
#1
39.21.0
31.630.7
Auto14.6
Teleop18.0
End6.6
Second
1243
#16
23.81.8
18.720.5
Auto10.0
Teleop10.2
End3.6
blue by 3.6
5203
#28
27.41.0
14.213.2
Auto7.1
Teleop15.7
End4.6
Third
5527
#34
11.61.8
15.016.8
Auto2.9
Teleop7.7
End1.1
blue by 8.8
4380
#20
20.41.0
16.915.9
Auto6.7
Teleop10.8
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
61%Breach oddsEarned59%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed