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Red47
520118.6
150628.5
608521.4
Blue87
553429.9
571316.6
413032.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5963203040507080904787

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1506
#11
28.51.8
25.223.4
Auto11.2
Teleop13.2
End4.0
blue by 4.3
32.81.8
26.127.9
Auto8.6
Teleop19.5
End4.7
Second
6085
#29
21.41.8
18.917.1
Auto5.4
Teleop14.1
End1.9
blue by 8.6
29.91.1
23.024.1
Auto6.8
Teleop15.8
End7.4
Third
5201
#21
18.61.8
14.112.3
Auto7.5
Teleop8.6
End2.6
red by 2.1
5713
#32
16.61.8
11.413.3
Auto3.5
Teleop11.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
63%Breach oddsMissed60%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed