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Red100
233728.8
353924.6
522621.3
Blue65
551724.7
523827.8
557413.9
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7760204010010065

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2337
#15
28.80.8
30.131.0
Auto6.2
Teleop18.1
End4.5
red by 1.1
5238
#12
27.80.5
19.519.9
Auto5.5
Teleop16.8
End5.5
Second
3539
#30
24.60.8
25.426.3
Auto10.0
Teleop12.1
End2.4
blue by 0.1
5517
#27
24.70.5
23.223.7
Auto7.2
Teleop14.7
End2.8
Third
5226
#24
21.30.5
16.917.4
Auto6.5
Teleop10.4
End4.4
red by 7.3
5574
#40
13.90.5
17.918.4
Auto2.0
Teleop9.0
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
76%Breach oddsEarned48%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed