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Red65
353720.5
353924.6
496117.6
Blue84
520118.6
608637.8
592626.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62632040801006584

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3539
#30
24.60.5
24.625.1
Auto10.0
Teleop12.1
End2.4
blue by 13.2
37.81.5
31.332.8
Auto10.5
Teleop22.8
End4.6
Second
3537
#23
20.50.3
17.717.9
Auto2.7
Teleop13.4
End4.4
blue by 5.7
5926
#10
26.22.5
15.518.1
Auto6.5
Teleop12.6
End7.1
Third
4961
#39
17.60.5
18.519.0
Auto6.1
Teleop8.3
End3.3
blue by 1.0
5201
#21
18.62.5
14.717.2
Auto7.5
Teleop8.6
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
50%Breach oddsEarned80%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed