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Red64
607319.7
370726.8
81821.1
Blue74
523827.8
31427.9
569719.8
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions556520304050607080906474

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3707
#14
26.80.5
20.220.6
Auto6.8
Teleop15.4
End4.6
blue by 1.0
314
#19
27.91.4
26.027.4
Auto4.9
Teleop18.7
End4.2
Second
818
#31
21.10.5
18.418.9
Auto5.8
Teleop13.3
End2.1
blue by 6.6
5238
#12
27.81.4
20.822.2
Auto5.5
Teleop16.8
End5.5
Third
6073
#25
19.70.5
16.216.6
Auto4.4
Teleop12.4
End2.9
blue by 0.1
5697
#38
19.81.4
14.816.1
Auto5.1
Teleop11.2
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
64%Breach oddsEarned70%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed