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Red83
353924.6
520327.4
413032.8
Blue57
353430.2
553429.9
557413.9
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions817540601001208357

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.80.5
31.431.9
Auto8.6
Teleop19.5
End4.7
red by 2.6
30.21.5
28.627.1
Auto7.3
Teleop13.6
End9.3
Second
5203
#28
27.40.5
20.721.2
Auto7.1
Teleop15.7
End4.6
blue by 2.6
29.91.1
28.527.4
Auto6.8
Teleop15.8
End7.4
Third
3539
#30
24.60.5
25.425.9
Auto10.0
Teleop12.1
End2.4
red by 10.7
5574
#40
13.91.5
16.314.9
Auto2.0
Teleop9.0
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
84%Breach oddsEarned74%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed