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Red70
438020.4
31427.9
521622.2
Blue54
522621.3
577421.5
569719.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6657203040507080901007054

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
314
#19
27.90.6
25.526.1
Auto4.9
Teleop18.7
End4.2
red by 6.4
5774
#22
21.50.3
19.519.2
Auto6.8
Teleop11.8
End2.9
Second
5216
#33
22.20.6
19.720.4
Auto6.3
Teleop12.2
End3.6
red by 0.9
5226
#24
21.30.2
19.819.5
Auto6.5
Teleop10.4
End4.4
Third
4380
#20
20.40.6
17.518.2
Auto6.7
Teleop10.8
End2.9
red by 0.6
5697
#38
19.80.3
17.917.6
Auto5.1
Teleop11.2
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
63%Breach oddsEarned60%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed