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Red90
520118.6
353430.2
46931.0
Blue74
606624.9
522621.3
521622.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79672040601001201409074

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
#7
31.01.1
29.430.5
Auto9.7
Teleop16.0
End5.2
red by 6.1
6066
#13
24.90.5
24.625.1
Auto8.2
Teleop12.7
End3.9
Second
30.21.1
28.329.4
Auto7.3
Teleop13.6
End9.3
red by 8.0
5216
#33
22.20.5
21.622.2
Auto6.3
Teleop12.2
End3.6
Third
5201
#21
18.61.1
17.518.6
Auto7.5
Teleop8.6
End2.6
blue by 2.7
5226
#24
21.30.5
20.821.3
Auto6.5
Teleop10.4
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
80%Breach oddsEarned70%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed