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Red98
570417.7
168436.3
31427.9
Blue101
504633.0
607319.7
523827.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions808160709010098101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.31.5
35.236.7
Auto7.7
Teleop24.2
End4.4
red by 3.3
33.00.6
31.932.5
Auto9.2
Teleop19.3
End4.5
Second
314
#19
27.91.5
26.427.9
Auto4.9
Teleop18.7
End4.2
red by 0.1
5238
#12
27.80.6
26.927.5
Auto5.5
Teleop16.8
End5.5
Third
5704
#36
17.71.7
16.117.7
Auto5.1
Teleop9.4
End3.2
blue by 2.0
6073
#25
19.70.6
19.620.2
Auto4.4
Teleop12.4
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
82%Breach oddsEarned85%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed