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Red85
438020.4
608521.4
413032.8
Blue108
515531.2
233728.8
353720.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7278406010012085108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.81.0
32.233.3
Auto8.6
Teleop19.5
End4.7
red by 1.6
5155
#17
31.22.1
28.830.9
Auto8.0
Teleop18.4
End4.8
Second
6085
#29
21.41.1
19.420.5
Auto5.4
Teleop14.1
End1.9
blue by 7.5
2337
#15
28.82.1
27.229.3
Auto6.2
Teleop18.1
End4.5
Third
4380
#20
20.41.0
19.320.4
Auto6.7
Teleop10.8
End2.9
blue by 0.2
3537
#23
20.51.9
18.720.5
Auto2.7
Teleop13.4
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
84%Breach oddsEarned81%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsEarned