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Red133
353430.2
49439.2
608521.4
Blue110
515531.2
523827.8
353924.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1101026080120140160180133110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#1
39.20.4
38.438.8
Auto14.6
Teleop18.0
End6.6
red by 8.0
5155
#17
31.20.2
30.931.1
Auto8.0
Teleop18.4
End4.8
Second
30.20.4
29.429.8
Auto7.3
Teleop13.6
End9.3
red by 2.4
5238
#12
27.80.2
27.527.7
Auto5.5
Teleop16.8
End5.5
Third
6085
#29
21.40.5
20.521.0
Auto5.4
Teleop14.1
End1.9
blue by 3.2
3539
#30
24.60.2
24.324.5
Auto10.0
Teleop12.1
End2.4