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Red159
353430.2
49439.2
608521.4
Blue137
504633.0
46931.0
569719.8
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions113101406080140160180200159137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#1
39.20.4
39.139.5
Auto14.6
Teleop18.0
End6.6
red by 6.2
33.00.2
32.933.1
Auto9.2
Teleop19.3
End4.5
Second
30.20.4
30.130.5
Auto7.3
Teleop13.6
End9.3
blue by 0.8
469
#7
31.00.2
30.931.1
Auto9.7
Teleop16.0
End5.2
Third
6085
#29
21.40.5
21.321.8
Auto5.4
Teleop14.1
End1.9
red by 1.6
5697
#38
19.80.2
19.719.9
Auto5.1
Teleop11.2
End3.5