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Red112
85837.7
611427.9
547033.7
Blue140
247435.6
516238.9
432720.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions125108050150200250300350112140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
858
#11
37.70.2
37.937.7
Auto7.1
Teleop25.6
End5.1
blue by 1.2
38.90.4
38.438.8
Auto12.4
Teleop17.0
End9.4
Second
5470
#14
33.70.2
33.933.7
Auto10.1
Teleop15.7
End8.0
blue by 1.9
2474
#12
35.60.4
35.135.4
Auto9.6
Teleop20.5
End5.5
Third
27.90.2
28.127.9
Auto9.9
Teleop14.7
End3.3
red by 7.4
4327
#32
20.50.4
20.020.4
Auto7.9
Teleop9.5
End3.1