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Red118
277147.3
335748.2
440926.1
Blue165
205439.9
496742.5
481934.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16014150100200250118165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.21.0
49.448.4
Auto11.4
Teleop29.6
End7.2
red by 5.7
42.50.1
41.841.9
Auto10.3
Teleop26.7
End5.5
Second
47.31.0
48.547.5
Auto8.8
Teleop35.2
End3.3
red by 7.4
2054
#20
39.90.1
39.239.3
Auto13.6
Teleop22.5
End3.8
Third
4409
#17
26.11.0
27.326.2
Auto5.5
Teleop15.2
End5.3
blue by 8.3
4819
#23
34.30.1
33.633.7
Auto6.5
Teleop24.3
End3.5