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Red100
432720.5
276744.8
207528.3
Blue66
610223.8
481934.3
609029.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8682707580909510010510066

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.81.1
37.338.4
Auto8.6
Teleop30.3
End5.9
red by 10.4
4819
#23
34.30.9
29.328.4
Auto6.5
Teleop24.3
End3.5
Second
2075
#25
28.31.1
28.329.4
Auto6.6
Teleop18.2
End3.5
blue by 1.4
6090
#15
29.70.9
30.829.9
Auto11.1
Teleop14.3
End4.3
Third
4327
#32
20.51.1
17.518.6
Auto7.9
Teleop9.5
End3.1
blue by 3.3
6102
#34
23.80.9
20.019.1
Auto4.7
Teleop16.7
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
81%Breach oddsEarned88%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed