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Red101
387527.2
335748.2
516238.9
Blue55
611427.9
596327.4
600513.1
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9860020408012014016010155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.20.4
35.936.3
Auto11.4
Teleop29.6
End7.2
red by 20.3
27.90.6
23.522.9
Auto9.9
Teleop14.7
End3.3
Second
38.90.4
24.925.3
Auto12.4
Teleop17.0
End9.4
red by 11.6
5963
#36
27.40.6
25.124.5
Auto8.2
Teleop13.6
End5.5
Third
3875
#24
27.20.4
29.229.6
Auto9.5
Teleop14.0
End3.7
red by 14.1
6005
#35
13.14.1
18.814.6
Auto1.1
Teleop8.8
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsEarned62%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed