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Red77
90431.8
167718.7
323426.7
Blue45
562222.6
566415.9
345816.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7736020601001201401607745

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
904
#18
31.80.5
30.530.0
Auto10.1
Teleop13.1
End8.6
red by 9.3
5622
#22DQ
22.60.2
18.618.9
Auto8.5
Teleop11.0
End3.1
Second
3234
#13
26.70.8
22.521.7
Auto7.8
Teleop14.0
End5.0
red by 9.9
3458
#33
16.80.3
9.810.0
Auto5.0
Teleop10.0
End1.8
Third
1677
#30
18.70.5
16.215.7
Auto4.9
Teleop11.6
End2.1
red by 2.8
5664
#38
15.90.2
12.913.2
Auto2.9
Teleop10.3
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
42%Breach oddsEarned16%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed