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Red66
609029.7
606526.3
432720.5
Blue70
562222.6
276744.8
357237.8
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7710640601201401606670

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6090
#15
29.70.9
30.429.6
Auto11.1
Teleop14.3
End4.3
blue by 15.1
44.81.9
41.839.9
Auto8.6
Teleop30.3
End5.9
Second
6065
#21
26.30.9
27.126.2
Auto7.7
Teleop13.8
End4.8
blue by 11.5
37.81.9
35.833.9
Auto9.6
Teleop24.1
End4.1
Third
4327
#32
20.50.9
21.620.7
Auto7.9
Teleop9.5
End3.1
blue by 2.1
5622
#22
22.61.9
21.219.3
Auto8.5
Teleop11.0
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
80%Breach oddsEarned83%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed