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Red100
566415.9
496742.5
85837.7
Blue75
481934.3
574527.6
440926.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions877920406010012014016010075

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.51.1
32.433.5
Auto10.3
Teleop26.7
End5.5
red by 8.2
4819
#23
34.30.2
30.930.8
Auto6.5
Teleop24.3
End3.5
Second
858
#11
37.71.1
36.837.9
Auto7.1
Teleop25.6
End5.1
red by 10.1
5745
#16
27.60.2
24.524.3
Auto9.3
Teleop14.4
End4.0
Third
5664
#38
15.91.1
14.115.2
Auto2.9
Teleop10.3
End2.7
blue by 10.2
4409
#17
26.10.2
22.422.2
Auto5.5
Teleop15.2
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
70%Breach oddsEarned84%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed