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Red111
90431.8
592720.7
85837.7
Blue59
387527.2
207528.3
525624.9
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89845010015011159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
858
#11
37.70.4
36.937.2
Auto7.1
Teleop25.6
End5.1
red by 9.5
2075
#25
28.31.6
29.427.8
Auto6.6
Teleop18.2
End3.5
Second
904
#18
31.80.4
30.030.4
Auto10.1
Teleop13.1
End8.6
red by 4.6
3875
#24
27.21.6
29.628.0
Auto9.5
Teleop14.0
End3.7
Third
5927
#27
20.70.4
18.819.2
Auto5.7
Teleop10.6
End4.4
blue by 4.2
5256
#10
24.91.6
23.521.9
Auto6.9
Teleop14.7
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
63%Breach oddsEarned91%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed