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Red106
448215.6
600232.0
335748.2
Blue112
205439.9
440926.1
609029.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8794204060120140160180106112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.21.0
36.337.3
Auto11.4
Teleop29.6
End7.2
red by 8.3
2054
#20
39.91.4
40.041.4
Auto13.6
Teleop22.5
End3.8
Second
6002
#19
32.01.0
30.731.7
Auto5.5
Teleop23.9
End2.6
red by 2.3
6090
#15
29.71.4
29.931.3
Auto11.1
Teleop14.3
End4.3
Third
4482
#40
15.61.0
18.919.9
Auto7.7
Teleop7.4
End0.5
blue by 10.5
4409
#17
26.11.4
20.722.2
Auto5.5
Teleop15.2
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
80%Breach oddsEarned86%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned