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Red53
524625.6
600513.1
345816.8
Blue125
496742.5
276744.8
613818.2
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46105020608012014016053125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5246
#37
25.60.0
27.027.0
Auto6.3
Teleop15.7
End3.5
blue by 19.2
44.82.1
39.942.0
Auto8.6
Teleop30.3
End5.9
Second
3458
#33
16.80.0
14.614.6
Auto5.0
Teleop10.0
End1.8
blue by 25.7
42.52.1
33.535.6
Auto10.3
Teleop26.7
End5.5
Third
6005
#35
13.10.0
11.611.5
Auto1.1
Teleop8.8
End3.2
blue by 5.0
6138
#31
18.22.1
19.822.0
Auto2.9
Teleop12.7
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
46%Breach oddsMissed93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed