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Red102
335748.2
167718.7
562222.6
Blue97
516238.9
481934.3
247435.6
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions759920406012014016010297

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.21.7
39.140.8
Auto11.4
Teleop29.6
End7.2
red by 9.3
38.90.3
31.131.4
Auto12.4
Teleop17.0
End9.4
Second
5622
#22
22.61.7
19.321.0
Auto8.5
Teleop11.0
End3.1
blue by 13.0
2474
#12
35.60.3
31.231.4
Auto9.6
Teleop20.5
End5.5
Third
1677
#30
18.71.7
18.219.9
Auto4.9
Teleop11.6
End2.1
blue by 15.7
4819
#23
34.30.3
30.831.0
Auto6.5
Teleop24.3
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
75%Breach oddsEarned88%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsEarned