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Red90
574527.6
600232.0
611427.9
Blue66
432720.5
557418.7
432535.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88672040801001201401609066

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6002
#19
32.00.2
31.431.6
Auto5.5
Teleop23.9
End2.6
blue by 3.7
35.70.1
31.231.1
Auto8.0
Teleop23.0
End4.6
Second
27.90.2
26.526.7
Auto9.9
Teleop14.7
End3.3
red by 7.4
4327
#32
20.50.1
20.720.6
Auto7.9
Teleop9.5
End3.1
Third
5745
#16
27.60.2
24.324.5
Auto9.3
Teleop14.4
End4.0
red by 8.9
5574
#39
18.70.1
16.216.1
Auto3.0
Teleop12.9
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
80%Breach oddsEarned56%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed