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Red82
433719.5
448215.6
205439.9
Blue87
85837.7
323426.7
440926.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions849040601001208287

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2054
#20
39.90.7
37.737.0
Auto13.6
Teleop22.5
End3.8
red by 2.1
858
#11
37.70.0
37.937.9
Auto7.1
Teleop25.6
End5.1
Second
4337
#29
19.50.7
25.124.4
Auto8.2
Teleop9.0
End2.3
blue by 7.2
3234
#13
26.70.0
26.626.6
Auto7.8
Teleop14.0
End5.0
Third
4482
#40
15.60.7
19.719.0
Auto7.7
Teleop7.4
End0.5
blue by 10.5
4409
#17
26.10.0
22.222.2
Auto5.5
Teleop15.2
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
69%Breach oddsMissed87%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed