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Red66
610223.8
524625.6
531622.3
Blue105
547033.7
606526.3
90431.8
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions609420408012014066105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5246
#37
25.60.2
27.027.1
Auto6.3
Teleop15.7
End3.5
blue by 8.1
5470
#14
33.70.9
30.431.3
Auto10.1
Teleop15.7
End8.0
Second
6102
#34
23.80.2
19.920.1
Auto4.7
Teleop16.7
End2.4
blue by 8.0
904
#18
31.80.9
29.630.5
Auto10.1
Teleop13.1
End8.6
Third
5316
#28
22.30.2
16.516.7
Auto7.3
Teleop13.9
End1.0
blue by 4.0
6065
#21
26.30.9
26.227.1
Auto7.7
Teleop13.8
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
66%Breach oddsEarned86%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed