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Red78
609029.7
596327.4
387527.2
Blue130
496742.5
194025.6
362052.4
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81108406010012014016078130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6090
#15
29.71.0
29.628.6
Auto11.1
Teleop14.3
End4.3
blue by 22.7
52.42.0
45.547.5
Auto10.5
Teleop35.4
End6.4
Second
5963
#36
27.41.0
27.626.6
Auto8.2
Teleop13.6
End5.5
blue by 15.2
42.52.0
35.637.6
Auto10.3
Teleop26.7
End5.5
Third
3875
#24
27.21.0
25.724.7
Auto9.5
Teleop14.0
End3.7
red by 1.6
1940
#26
25.62.0
19.521.4
Auto4.9
Teleop17.0
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
89%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned