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Red92
432535.7
387527.2
345816.8
Blue91
277147.3
610223.8
433719.5
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6895204060801201409291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.71.4
31.132.5
Auto8.0
Teleop23.0
End4.6
blue by 11.6
47.30.2
43.643.8
Auto8.8
Teleop35.2
End3.3
Second
3875
#24
27.21.4
24.726.2
Auto9.5
Teleop14.0
End3.7
red by 3.4
6102
#34
23.80.2
20.120.3
Auto4.7
Teleop16.7
End2.4
Third
3458
#33
16.81.4
14.616.0
Auto5.0
Teleop10.0
End1.8
blue by 2.7
4337
#29
19.50.2
24.424.6
Auto8.2
Teleop9.0
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
89%Breach oddsEarned81%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed5%Capture oddsMissed