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Red84
85837.7
525624.9
524625.6
Blue113
335748.2
609029.7
574527.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions919860708011012013014084113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
858
#11
37.70.4
37.937.5
Auto7.1
Teleop25.6
End5.1
blue by 10.5
48.20.9
40.841.8
Auto11.4
Teleop29.6
End7.2
Second
5246
#37
25.60.4
27.126.8
Auto6.3
Teleop15.7
End3.5
blue by 4.1
6090
#15
29.70.9
28.629.5
Auto11.1
Teleop14.3
End4.3
Third
5256
#10
24.90.4
24.624.2
Auto6.9
Teleop14.7
End3.3
blue by 2.7
5745
#16
27.60.9
24.525.5
Auto9.3
Teleop14.4
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
89%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
4%Capture oddsMissed3%Capture oddsEarned