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Red106
547033.7
323426.7
205439.9
Blue103
496742.5
481934.3
562222.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1009050150200106103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2054
#20
39.90.7
37.738.4
Auto13.6
Teleop22.5
End3.8
blue by 2.6
42.50.9
37.638.5
Auto10.3
Teleop26.7
End5.5
Second
5470
#14
33.70.7
31.332.0
Auto10.1
Teleop15.7
End8.0
blue by 0.6
4819
#23
34.30.9
31.031.9
Auto6.5
Teleop24.3
End3.5
Third
3234
#13
26.71.1
26.627.8
Auto7.8
Teleop14.0
End5.0
red by 4.1
5622
#22
22.60.9
20.621.6
Auto8.5
Teleop11.0
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
90%Breach oddsEarned88%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsEarned