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Red131
606526.3
247435.6
362052.4
Blue90
516238.9
323426.7
194025.6
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11679406010014016018013190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.41.3
48.049.3
Auto10.5
Teleop35.4
End6.4
red by 13.5
38.90.5
32.533.0
Auto12.4
Teleop17.0
End9.4
Second
2474
#12
35.61.3
32.033.3
Auto9.6
Teleop20.5
End5.5
red by 8.9
3234
#13
26.70.8
27.828.6
Auto7.8
Teleop14.0
End5.0
Third
6065
#21
26.31.3
26.828.1
Auto7.7
Teleop13.8
End4.8
red by 0.7
1940
#26
25.60.5
22.022.5
Auto4.9
Teleop17.0
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned83%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed