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Red86
609029.7
547033.7
611427.9
Blue55
345816.8
207528.3
167718.7
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions956302040801201408655

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5470
#14
33.70.1
31.331.2
Auto10.1
Teleop15.7
End8.0
red by 5.4
2075
#25
28.31.1
29.628.6
Auto6.6
Teleop18.2
End3.5
Second
6090
#15
29.70.1
29.529.4
Auto11.1
Teleop14.3
End4.3
red by 11.0
1677
#30
18.71.1
20.419.3
Auto4.9
Teleop11.6
End2.1
Third
27.90.1
26.926.8
Auto9.9
Teleop14.7
End3.3
red by 11.1
3458
#33
16.81.1
16.015.0
Auto5.0
Teleop10.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsEarned67%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
3%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed